Hard to say. Tunisia and Egypt are not Koran-thumping governments, though they have strong anti-western pan-arab movements.
I'm pretty knowledgeable on the topic of geopolitics. I feel I can safely predict what this will lead Israel to do.
Israel recently raided a ship sent by a Turkish aid group headed for the Gaza strip. While the media tne the UN likes to portray images of Israeli Jackboots flying in on helicopters and eating babies on the ship deck...not exactly. The Israelis radioed several times for the ship to dock in Tel Aviv or wherever and be searched for weapons, because a common tactic of Islamist groups is to hide explosives and weapons in humanitarian aid. They were ignored several times. Red Crescent ambulances have often been found to have medical supplies and such...but also suicide bombs, firearms and katyusha rockets that can be fired from Palestinian held areas into Israeli towns. They radioed several times and were ignored, until finally getting the message "Go back to Auschwitz". Ooohoohooo. F**k with the bull, get the horns. WRONG message to send, they can cry about it all they want. A couple of Israelis got killed in that raid, stabbed to death or shot with handguns.
Israel never misses a prime opportunity to strengthen its territorial integrity. The Israelis have made concession after concession, and each time the response was more hostility from the Palestinian Infitadaists, more death tolls, no peace. I think Israel is pretty well over a peace that is not tenable, and the "fall guy" president that D-Generation elected simply because of the color of his skin has no idea how to deal. Out of his league. Read any of his college papers, they are pedantic and he comes off like a 9th grader trying to please some tweed-jacket for a 4.0 GPA.
My prediction is that if Egypt is in dischord, the Israelis will use it as an opportunity. They will eventually come to a course of action and will use that opportunity to drive Hamas and all the Islamists that Mubarak shipped over to Gaza right back to him. That's why they've been bringing in errant Judaic communities & "lost tribes" to take over the positions that Palestinian muslims once did, because they assimilate into Israeli society. Good fences make for good neighbors. This is what the right wing in Israel holds to:
"All the land shall be turned into a plain from Geba to Rimmon south of Jerusalem. Jerusalem shall be raised up and inhabited in her place from Benjamin's Gate to the place of the First Gate and the Corner Gate, and from the Tower of Hananel to the king's winepresses."
"This shall be the punishment of Egypt and the punishment of all the nations that do not come up to keep the Feast of Tabernacles.....in that day, there shall no longer be a Canaanite in the house of the Lord of Hosts." - Zechariah
They will flow west from Gaza...and east from Jerusalem. The above is the doctrine Israel will follow in what it views as its defense.
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